Publications of Nicola Scafetta

A list of publications authored or co-authored by Nicola Scafetta, derived from the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS). The number in brackets after each title indicates the number of citations that the paper has received.

Orcid ID: 0000-0003-0967-1911

List of publications ordered by citations
Number of papers: 101 (refereed: 100)
No. of citations: 2631
First author papers: 77 (refereed: 77)

2026

1. Modeling Two-Pulse Convective Storms Induced by Orographic Forcing: A Meteo-Hydrological Approach for Urban Flood Risk Assessment [0]
   Fortelli, Alberto, Scafetta, Nicola, Pugliese, Francesco, Ascione, Giuseppe, De Paola, Francesco, Gerundo, Carlo & Giugni, Maurizio, Environmental Processes, 13, 9
2. Detection, attribution, and modeling of climate change: Key open issues [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Gondwana Research, 152, 92
3. Rainwater accumulation model related to tectono-stratigraphic assessment for bradyseism at Campi Flegrei, Italy [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Lima, Annamaria, Milia, Alfonsa, Spera, Frank, Bodnar, Robert J., Vivo, Benedetto De & Daniele, Linda, Geoscience Frontiers, 17, 102256

2025

1. Spectral Structure of the Solar Inertial Motion from 12999 BC to 16998 AD [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Milani, Franco, Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific, 137, 054402
2. Optimal machine learning techniques for meteorological modeling of PM2.5 concentration in five major polluted cities of South-East Asia [0]
   Shafi, Sedra & Scafetta, Nicola, Natural Hazards, 121, 6981

2024

1. Multiple New or Updated Satellite Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) Composites (1978─2023) [2]
   Connolly, Ronan, Soon, Willie, Connolly, Michael, Cionco, Rodolfo Gustavo, Elias, Ana G., Henry, Gregory W., Scafetta, Nicola & Velasco Herrera, Víctor M., ApJ, 975, 102
2. Impacts and risks of "realistic" global warming projections for the 21st century [47]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geoscience Frontiers, 15, 101774

2023

1. Challenges in the Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Surface Temperature Trends Since 1850 [6]
   Connolly, Ronan, Soon, Willie, Connolly, Michael, Baliunas, Sallie, Berglund, Johan, Butler, C. J., Gustavo Cionco, Rodolfo, Elias, Ana G., Fedorov, Valery M., Harde, Hermann, Henry, Gregory W., Hoyt, Douglas V., Humlum, Ole, Legates, David R., Scafetta, Nicola, Solheim, Jan-Erik, Szarka, László, Velasco Herrera, Víctor M., Yan, Hong & Zhang, Weijia, Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics, 23, 105015
2. Reply to "Comment on `Advanced Testing of Low, Medium, and High ECS CMIP6 GCM Simulations Versus ERA5-T2m' by N. Scafetta (2022)" by Schmidt et al. (2023) [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL104960
3. Empirical assessment of the role of the Sun in climate change using balanced multi-proxy solar records [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geoscience Frontiers, 14, 101650
4. Comment on "Tidally Synchronized Solar Dynamo: A Rebuttal" by Nataf (Solar Phys. 297, 107, 2022) [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Solar Physics, 298, 24
5. CMIP6 GCM Validation Based on ECS and TCR Ranking for 21st Century Temperature Projections and Risk Assessment [21]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Atmosphere, 14, 345
6. Overview of the Spectral Coherence between Planetary Resonances and Solar and Climate Oscillations [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Bianchini, Antonio, Climate, 11, 77
7. CMIP6 GCM ensemble members versus global surface temperatures [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate Dynamics, 60, 3091
8. The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850-2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data [12]
   Soon, Willie, Connolly, Ronan, Connolly, Michael, Akasofu, Syun-Ichi, Baliunas, Sallie, Berglund, Johan, Bianchini, Antonio, Briggs, William M., Butler, C. J., Cionco, Rodolfo Gustavo, Crok, Marcel, Elias, Ana G., Fedorov, Valery M., Gervais, François, Harde, Hermann, Henry, Gregory W., Hoyt, Douglas V., Humlum, Ole, Legates, David R., Lupo, Anthony R., Maruyama, Shigenori, Moore, Patrick, Ogurtsov, Maxim, ÓhAiseadha, Coilín, Oliveira, Marcos J., Park, Seok-Soon, Qiu, Shican, Quinn, Gerré, Scafetta, Nicola, Solheim, Jan-Erik, Steele, Jim, Szarka, László, Tanaka, Hiroshi L., Taylor, Mitchell K., Vahrenholt, Fritz, Velasco Herrera, Víctor M. & Zhang, Weijia, Climate, 11, 179

2022

1. Scaling, mirror symmetries and musical consonances among the distances of the planets of the solar system [7]
   Bank, Michael J. & Scafetta, Nicola, Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 8, 254
2. Advanced Testing of Low, Medium, and High ECS CMIP6 GCM Simulations Versus ERA5-T2m [41]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e97716
3. The Planetary Theory of Solar Activity Variability: A Review [26]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Bianchini, Antonio, Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 9, 937930

2021

1. How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate [46]
   Connolly, Ronan, Soon, Willie, Connolly, Michael, Baliunas, Sallie, Berglund, Johan, Butler, C. John, Cionco, Rodolfo Gustavo, Elias, Ana G., Fedorov, Valery M., Harde, Hermann, Henry, Gregory W., Hoyt, Douglas V., Humlum, Ole, Legates, David R., Lüning, Sebastian, Scafetta, Nicola, Solheim, Jan-Erik, Szarka, László, van Loon, Harry, Velasco Herrera, Víctor M., Willson, Richard C., Yan, Hong & Zhang, Weijia, Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics, 21, 131
2. High spatial resolution measurements of passive-sampler derived air concentrations of persistent organic pollutants in the Campania region, Italy: Implications for source identification and risk analysis [10]
   Qu, Chengkai, De Vivo, Benedetto, Albanese, Stefano, Fortelli, Alberto, Scafetta, Nicola, Li, Jiji, Hope, Dave, Cerino, Pellegrino, Pizzolante, Antonio, Qi, Shihua & Lima, Annamaria, Environmental Pollution, 286, 117248
3. On the Rainfall Triggering of Phlegraean Fields Volcanic Tremors [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Water, 13, 154
4. Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980-1990 to 2011-2021: High ECS Is Not Supported [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate, 09, 161
5. Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980-1990 to 2011-2021: High ECS Is Not Supported [22]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate, 9, 161
6. Detection of non-climatic biases in land surface temperature records by comparing climatic data and their model simulations [22]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate Dynamics, 56, 2959
7. Reconstruction of the Interannual to Millennial Scale Patterns of the Global Surface Temperature [19]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Atmosphere, 12, 147

2020

1. Solar Oscillations and the Orbital Invariant Inequalities of the Solar System [27]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Solar Physics, 295, 33
2. Distribution of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic and Its Monthly Forecast Based on Seasonal Climate Patterns [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17, 3493
3. A 60-Year Cycle in the Meteorite Fall Frequency Suggests a Possible Interplanetary Dust Forcing of the Earth's Climate Driven by Planetary Oscillations [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco & Bianchini, Antonio, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e89954
4. Multiscale Analysis of the Instantaneous Eccentricity Oscillations of the Planets of the Solar System from 13 000 BC to 17 000 AD [7]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco & Bianchini, Antonio, Astronomy Letters, 45, 778

2019

1. Detection of a 14-d atmospheric perturbation peak at Paranal associated with lunar cycles [5]
   Cavazzani, S., Ortolani, S., Scafetta, N., Zitelli, V. & Carraro, G., MNRAS, 484, L136
2. Nowcasting and real-time monitoring of heavy rainfall events inducing flash-floods: an application to Phlegraean area (Central-Southern Italy) [10]
   Fortelli, Alberto, Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Natural Hazards, 97, 861
3. Modeling Quiet Solar Luminosity Variability from TSI Satellite Measurements and Proxy Models during 1980-2018 [19]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Willson, Richard C., Lee, Jae N. & Wu, Dong L., Remote Sensing, 11, 2569
4. Detection of UHI bias in China climate network using Tmin and Tmax surface temperature divergence [13]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Ouyang, Shenghui, Global and Planetary Change, 181, 102989

2018

1. The Little Ice Age was 1.0-1.5 °C cooler than current warm period according to LOD and NAO [6]
   Mazzarella, Adriano & Scafetta, Nicola, Climate Dynamics, 51, 3957
2. Cultural noise and the night-day asymmetry of the seismic activity recorded at the Bunker-East (BKE) Vesuvian Station [4]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 349, 117
3. Reply on Comment on "High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations" by S. Holm [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Advances in Space Research, 62, 334

2017

1. Wavelet analysis of remote sensing and discharge data for understanding vertical ground movements in sandy and clayey terrains of the Po Delta area (Northern Italy) [4]
   Vitagliano, Eleonora, Di Maio, Rosa, Scafetta, Nicola, Calcaterra, Domenico & Zanchettin, Davide, Journal of Hydrology, 550, 386

2016

1. Influence of synoptic and local atmospheric patterns on PM10 air pollution levels: a model application to Naples (Italy) [33]
   Fortelli, Alberto, Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Atmospheric Environment, 143, 218
2. Evidences for higher nocturnal seismic activity at the Mt. Vesuvius [4]
   Mazzarella, Adriano & Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 321, 102
3. On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene [53]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco, Bianchini, Antonio & Ortolani, Sergio, Earth Science Reviews, 162, 24
4. High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Advances in Space Research, 57, 2121

2015

1. Spectral coherence between climate oscillations and the M ≥ 7 earthquake historical worldwide record [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Natural Hazards, 76, 1807
2. The Arctic and Antarctic Sea-Ice Area Index Records versus Measured and Modeled Temperature Data [3]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Mazzarella, Adriano & Gimeno, Luis, Advances in Meteorology, 2015, 481834

2014

1. The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system [29]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 2, 1
2. Multi-scale dynamical analysis (MSDA) of sea level records versus PDO, AMO, and NAO indexes [65]
   Scafetta, N., Climate Dynamics, 43, 175
3. Global temperatures and sunspot numbers. Are they related? Yes, but non linearly. A reply to Gil-Alana et al. (2014) [15]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 413, 329
4. Comment on "Tiny warming of residual anthropogenic CO₂" [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, International Journal of Modern Physics B, 28, 1475001
5. Discussion on the spectral coherence between planetary, solar and climate oscillations: a reply to some critiques [40]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Astrophysics and Space Science, 354, 275
6. ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite validation versus TSI proxy models [47]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Astrophysics and Space Science, 350, 421

2013

1. Quantifying the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) coupling to CO₂ concentration and to the length of day variations [30]
   Mazzarella, A., Giuliacci, A. & Scafetta, N., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 111, 601
2. General conclusions regarding the planetary-solar-terrestrial interaction [3]
   Mörner, N.-A., Tattersall, R., Solheim, J.-E., Charvatova, I., Scafetta, N., Jelbring, H., Wilson, I. R., Salvador, R., Willson, R. C., Hejda, P., Soon, W., Velasco Herrera, V. M., Humlum, O., Archibald, D., Yndestad, H., Easterbrook, D., Casey, J., Gregori, G. & Henriksson, G., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 205
3. Comment on “The influence of planetary attractions on the solar tachocline” by Callebaut, de Jager and Duhau [14]
   Scafetta, N., Humlum, O., Solheim, J.-E. & Stordahl, K., Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 102, 368
4. Multiscale comparative spectral analysis of satellite total solar irradiance measurements from 2003 to 2013 reveals a planetary modulation of solar activity and its nonlinear dependence on the 11 yr solar cycle [17]
   Scafetta, N. & Willson, R. C., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 123
5. Reply to Benestad's comment on "Discussions on common errors in analyzing sea level accelerations, solar trends and global warming" by Scafetta (2013) [1]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 105
6. Discussion on common errors in analyzing sea level accelerations, solar trends and global warming [16]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 37
7. Empirical evidences for a planetary modulation of total solar irradiance and the TSI signature of the 1.09-year Earth-Jupiter conjunction cycle [24]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Astrophysics and Space Science, 348, 25
8. Planetary harmonics in the historical Hungarian aurora record (1523-1960) [33]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Planetary and Space Science, 78, 38
9. Solar and Planetary Oscillation Control on Climate Change: Hind-Cast, Forecast and a Comparison with the Cmip5 Gcms [14]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Energy and Environment, 24, 455
10. Discussion on climate oscillations: CMIP5 general circulation models versus a semi-empirical harmonic model based on astronomical cycles [58]
    Scafetta, Nicola, Earth Science Reviews, 126, 321

2012

1. High-Frequency Cyclicity In the Mediterranean Messinian Evaporites: Evidence For Solar-Lunar Climate Forcing [62]
   Manzi, V., Gennari, R., Lugli, S., Roveri, M., Scafetta, N. & Schreiber, B. C., Journal of Sedimentary Research, 82, 991
2. Evidences for a quasi 60-year North Atlantic Oscillation since 1700 and its meaning for global climate change [59]
   Mazzarella, Adriano & Scafetta, Nicola, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 107, 599
3. Does the Sun work as a nuclear fusion amplifier of planetary tidal forcing? A proposal for a physical mechanism based on the mass-luminosity relation [65]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 81, 27
4. Multi-scale harmonic model for solar and climate cyclical variation throughout the Holocene based on Jupiter-Saturn tidal frequencies plus the 11-year solar dynamo cycle [83]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 80, 296
5. Testing an astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model versus the IPCC (2007) general circulation climate models [52]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 80, 124
6. A shared frequency set between the historical mid-latitude aurora records and the global surface temperature [52]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 74, 145

2011

1. Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Climatic Data [39]
   Loehle, Craig, The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 5, 74
2. Understanding the complexity of the Lévy-walk nature of human mobility with a multi-scale cost/benefit model [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Chaos, 21, 043106

2010

1. Comment on ``Testing Hypotheses about Sun-Climate Complexity Linking'' [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 105, 219801
2. Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications [144]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72, 951
3. Disrupted Networks: From Physics to Climate Change [2]
   West, Bruce J. & Scafetta, Nicola,

2009

1. Interpretations of climate-change data [2]
   Scafetta, Nicola, West, Bruce J., Jordan, Benjamin R., Duffy, Philip, Santer, Benjamin & Wigley, Tom, Physics Today, 62, 8
2. Empirical analysis of the solar contribution to global mean air surface temperature change [54]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 71, 1916
3. ACRIM-gap and TSI trend issue resolved using a surface magnetic flux TSI proxy model [49]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L05701
4. Understanding the complexity of human gait dynamics [36]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Marchi, Damiano & West, Bruce J., Chaos, 19, 026108

2008

1. Is climate sensitive to solar variability? [31]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physics Today, 61, 50
2. Comment on ``Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system'' by S. E. Schwartz [15]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 113, D15104

2007

1. Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600 [46]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 112, D24S03
2. Emergence of bi-fractal time series from noise via allometric filters [0]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., EPL (Europhysics Letters), 79, 30003
3. Probability distributions in conservative energy exchange models of multiple interacting agents [5]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Journal of Physics Condensed Matter, 19, 065138
4. Fractal response of physiological signals to stress conditions, environmental changes, and neurodegenerative diseases [14]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Moon, Richard E. & West, Bruce J., Complexity, 12, 12

2006

1. Phenomenological solar signature in 400 years of reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperature record [27]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L17718
2. Reply to comment by J. L. Lean on ``Estimated solar contribution to the global surface warming using the ACRIM TSI satellite composite'' [5]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L15702
3. Phenomenological solar contribution to the 1900-2000 global surface warming [53]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L05708
4. Correlation regimes in fluctuations of fatigue crack growth [2]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Ray, Asok & West, Bruce J., Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 359, 1

2005

1. Estimated solar contribution to the global surface warming using the ACRIM TSI satellite composite [51]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L18713
2. Multiscaling comparative analysis of time series and geophysical phenomena [16]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Complexity, 10, 51

2004

1. An intensity-expansion method to treat non-stationary time series: an application to the distance between prime numbers [7]
   Scafetta, N., Imholt, T., Roberts, J. A. & West, B. J., Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 20, 119
2. An out-of-equilibrium model of the distributions of wealth [25]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Picozzi, Sergio & West, Bruce J., Quantitative Finance, 4, 353
3. A trade-investment model for distribution of wealth [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Picozzi, Sergio & West, Bruce J., Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, 193, 338
4. Multiscaling Comparative Analysis of Time Series and a Discussion on ``Earthquake Conversations'' in California [55]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 92, 138501
5. Solar turbulence in earth's global and regional temperature anomalies [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Grigolini, Paolo, Imholt, Timothy, Roberts, Jim & West, Bruce J., Physical Review E, 69, 026303
6. Multiresolution diffusion entropy analysis of time series: an application to births to teenagers in Texas [3]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 20, 179

2003

1. Compression and diffusion: a joint approach to detect complexity [47]
   Allegrini, P., Benci, V., Grigolini, P., Hamilton, P., Ignaccolo, M., Menconi, G., Palatella, L., Raffaelli, G., Scafetta, N., Virgilio, M. & Yang, J., Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 15, 517
2. Hölder exponent spectra for human gait [41]
   Scafetta, N., Griffin, L. & West, B. J., Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 328, 561
3. Solar Flare Intermittency and the Earth's Temperature Anomalies [55]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 90, 248701
4. Nonlinear dynamical model of human gait [52]
   West, Bruce J. & Scafetta, Nicola, Physical Review E, 67, 051917

2002

1. Diffusion entropy and waiting time statistics of hard-x-ray solar flares [65]
   Grigolini, Paolo, Leddon, Deborah & Scafetta, Nicola, Physical Review E, 65, 046203
2. Scaling detection in time series: Diffusion entropy analysis [116]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Grigolini, Paolo, Physical Review E, 66, 036130
3. Lévy scaling: The diffusion entropy analysis applied to DNA sequences [49]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Latora, Vito & Grigolini, Paolo, Physical Review E, 66, 031906
4. Lévy statistics in coding and non-coding nucleotide sequences [25]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Latora, Vito & Grigolini, Paolo, Physics Letters A, 299, 565

2001

1. Sporadic randomness, Maxwell's Demon and the Poincaré recurrence times [16]
   Aquino, Gerardo, Grigolini, Paolo & Scafetta, Nicola, Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 12, 2023